Soros
Reflecsity Method, Method of Econophysics A. Tannous and E. Fessant, Method of Economic Butterflies Paul Omerod, Elliot Wave Model
(Socionomic), Astronomy Financial, and Econobusiness Biocycle Dynamic
(Edmond F. La’lang)
By : Edmond F. La’lang (economic and environment observer)
Reflectivity
theory of Georges Soros said that growth would increase linearly will
be often to bubbled or appreciated beyond their fair value by achieving
growth and excess profits by using all means, strategies and funds that
eventually reached its peak at a certain price level. In the linear
growth (bullish) will be achieved "prosperity phase"
that often makes people more excited, greedy and self-confidence to
continue growing, though aware of it or not will cause effects similar
to drug addiction are always trying to rise above your level of self and
environment ( self and environment carrying capacity) according to the
Bio-Economic theory which is an overdose of the poison or overbought.
Angle slope becomes very steep price increases achieved in just a short
time (high return high risk) that causes the condition of the body or
stock exchange and the economic engine will quickly heat up
(overheating).
According to Tannous and Fessant Econophysical method is similar
to electrical circuit that continues to provide power to move and work,
and according to the theory of Paul Omerod Butterfly Economic activity
is a butterfly seeking nectar plants (similar to the credit of interest
that was sweet honey or hordes of ants and walk works alongside busy
looking for food and sugar tirelessly. After reaching its peak, will
pass the process of "self-reinforcing" from Reflecsity (George Soros),
overloaded electrical circuit theory econophysical (Tannous and
Fessant), stacker of hordes of ants on one narrow area (bottleneck)
theory Economic Butterfly (Paul Omerod), peak carrying capacity of
Bio-Economic theory can spend most of the funds, time, opportunity and
wealth for the sake of the victim to achieve a higher level, but it can
not be achieved, despite performed repeatedly. Also Elliot Wave Theory
can give longterm wave economic cycle on 5 – 30 years indeed 50 – 100
years prediction that based on psychological mass and socionomic that
analyzed social aspect on economy dynamic and Astro-Financial that used
astrology science to align what happen in Financial Market and
Astronacci is used Astrology and Fibonacci Methode to know and how the
financial market mechanism.
This process is similar sideways consolidation of management and
economics, but generally business people and economists do not really
know, do not even realize this critical condition by continuing to
expand a business, buy shares at high prices, taking high-risk loans,
because it assumes that conditions of economic growth, market share and
the stock market remains promising prospective growth. If you've run out
of funds, resources and opportunities to ride, start a process of
nervousness, frustration, confusion on crowded conditions (clustered)
that cause congestion, and a lot of hot air room rumors are confusing.
And in the end it came to pass catastroph (George Soros), landslides,
snowballing, body fatigue and shock (Bio-Economic), earthquakes (Tannous
and Fessant), and the shower of ants by hand from outside interference,
in which the stock price and economic growth to be toppled by a drastic
reduction process or happening motion free fall by gravity to lowered
all the mass and assets from its peak height to the lower level (base)
to a level where he began to rise. This is where the process is The Law
of Deminishing Return, where if we go up like a bullet trajectory
(mechanics) at a steep angle (greater than 70 degrees or more than 45%
slope), say within 1 hour travel time in height (Y ) 1,000 m then we
will fall quickly by gravity at short distances 200 m (X) from which we
begin to rise (point 0). Thus all the power efforts and human
performance in a specified period will be corrected naturally in place
around the height and location where he began to make the climb,
businesses and activities that have to spend a lot of money, effort and
time that mean a return to Break Even Point only.
The
experience of loss is the investor and the company did not alert,
unprudent, unprofessional and inefficient in managing the funds, effort
and performance without even knowing the condition of the business cycle
ha man who not only driven by his human hands, but also controlled by
the "Invisible Hand" of the
natural and supernatural forces that always influences on human
psychological and behavior in everything activities. In the midterm and
long term in space and time, the influence of natural and supernatural
strength will be very dominant in influencing the dynamics of human life
in all aspects of life, including economic – business activities and
financial market in forex, stocks, commodity and the other derivatives.